2024 FOSP: Men's Picks and Results Thread

[meganfernandez]

Keep tabs on your picks and your SP life here. When you're red, you're dead.

[meganfernandez]

161standchilla: Korda -- Khachanov -- Darderi -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- Rublev
3mlm: Martinez -- Giron
Adicecream: Draper
Airickdago1: Nakashima -- Tiafoe -- Carballes Baena -- Korda -- Etcheverry -- Auger-Aliassime -- Rune -- Sinner -- Medvedev
Airmutable: Nakashima -- Giron
Ajay.gov: Tabilo
Aleape: Draper
Alias47: Korda -- Baez -- Etcheverry -- Wawrinka
Alvinlimtc: Wawrinka -- Monfils -- Rinderknech -- Korda -- Griekspoor -- Hurkacz -- Rune -- Tsitsipas -- De Minaur
Andre8735: Draper
Angryduck71: Dimitrov -- Baez -- NO PICK
Bankerb4: Korda -- Khachanov -- Darderi -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- Dimitrov -- Rune -- Tsitsipas -- Medvedev
Bernadette27: Ofner -- Auger-Aliassime -- Mannarino
Bestjax: Korda -- Baez -- Darderi -- Shelton -- Khachanov
Blomgren: Marozsan -- Khachanov -- Mannarino
Bluereggie: Draper
Bouchardboiledeggs: Nakashima -- Tiafoe -- Griekspoor -- Baez -- Etcheverry
Cantplaytennis420: Korda -- Musetti -- De Minaur -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- Dimitrov -- Fritz -- NO PICK
Canuckraonic: Ofner -- Baez -- Darderi -- Auger-Aliassime -- Khachanov
Casperpod: Hurkacz -- Baez -- Struff -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerndolo -- Rublev
Catman: Martinez -- Baez -- Struff -- Korda -- Cerundolo -- Dimitrov -- Paul
Cdavid99: Korda -- Baez -- Etcheverry -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- Rublev
Charlie02123: Korda -- Musetti -- Griekspoor -- Baez
Chiara: Wawrinka -- Auger-Aliassime -- De Minaur -- Shelton -- NO PICK
Contactpoint32: Korda -- Giron
Cyborgshoes: Marozsan -- Baez -- Darderi -- Auger-Aliassime -- De Minaur -- Moutet -- Rune -- Alcaraz -- Zverev
Dave g: Wawrinka -- Cerundolo -- Cobolli -- Korda -- Bublik
Dowser55: Hurkacz -- Khachanov -- Etcheverry -- Auger-Aliassime -- Tommy Paul -- Rublev
Du pioneers: Nakashima -- Auger-Aliassime -- Rinderknech -- Korda -- Khachanov
Ducklynt: Draper
Elchie: Nakashima -- Ruusuvuori
Equipped: Korda -- Van de Zandschulp -- NO PICK
Eskimo53: Draper
Esquared88: Korda -- Baez -- Mannarino
Fastbackss: Tabilo
Federer70: Humbert
Federex: Dimitrov -- Khachanov -- Darderi -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- Rublev
Flowerchild39: Diallo
Franchise: Korda -- Auger-Aliassime -- Darderi -- Shelton -- Cerundolo -- Dimitrov -- Rune -- Tsitsipas -- Ruud

[meganfernandez]

G2gaynor: Dimitrov -- Baez -- Darderi -- Korda -- Paul -- Rublev
Gacritter: Draper
Gff0: Ofner -- Cerundolo -- Rinderknech -- Korda -- Musetti -- Moutet -- Fritz -- Alcaraz -- Ruud
Glarange: Korda -- NO PICK
Grancordero: Dimitrov -- Auger Aliassime -- Darderi -- Shelton -- Djokovic -- Tsitsipas -- Rune -- Hurkacz
Greengourd: Martinez -- Musetti -- Darderi -- Korda -- Khachanov
Gunner: Nakashima -- Giron
Herodotus: Nakashima -- Giron
Hoangers: Korda -- Baez -- Struff -- Bergs -- Etcheverry -- Auger-Aliassime -- Rune -- Tsitsipas -- Ruud
Hotchocolate: Wawrinka -- NO PICK
Hummingbird: Tabilo
Improbabledream: Hurkacz -- Khachanov -- Fritz -- Korda -- Tommy Paul -- Rublev
Irena2: Korda -- Baez -- Mannarino
Ironmike: Korda -- Tiafoe -- Darderi -- Shelton -- Etcheverry -- Moutet -- Paul
Janebowles: Korda -- Paul -- Rinderknech -- Auger-Aliassime -- Etcheverry -- Dimitrov -- Rune -- Arnaldi
Jason11e: Korda -- Shevchenko -- Rinderknech -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- Moutet -- Fritz -- Tsitsipas -- Ruud
Jatagen: Ofner -- Tiafoe -- Mannarino -- Never mind I hadnt checked results. Im out
Jazzyg: Dimitrov -- Khachanov -- Darderi -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundulo -- Moutet -- Fritz -- Tsitsipas -- Medvedev
Jeff from tx: Coric
Jennifer mcdonald: Korda -- NO PICK
Jkfinaz: Draper
Jlhct: Martinez -- Norrie
Joanjettson: Korda -- Musetti -- Griekspoor -- Auger-Aliassime -- Fritz -- Dimitrov -- Rune -- Hurkacz
Jtcontinental: Marozsan -- Auger-Aliassime -- Struff -- Korda -- Rune -- Rublev
Jumpfroggy: Nardi
Karl nimeni: Dimitrov -- Baez -- Darderi -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- Rublev
Karlovicfanclub: Korda -- Musetti -- Mannarino
Khethux: Korda -- Khachanov -- Mannarino
Kknudsen: Korda -- Baez -- Mannarino
Kokomuck: Korda -- Fils
Ktothem1: Korda -- Baez -- Davidovich Fokina -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- Moutet -- Rune -- Tsitsipas -- Ruud
Kzt123: Nakashima -- Norrie
Lauriejo: Korda -- Baez -- Struff -- Auger-Aliassime -- Kokkinakis -- Dimitrov -- Fritz -- Tsitsipas -- Ruud
Lbk77: Tabilo
Led14pa2: Korda -- Baez -- Etcheverry -- Auger-Aliassime -- Khachanov
Leemur: Ofner -- Tiafoe -- Auger-Aliasime -- NO PICK
Liamvalid: Martinez -- Baez -- Carballes Baena -- Korda -- Cerundolo -- Tsitsipas -- Fritz -- Hurkacz
Lokomotiv lemnos: Korda -- Baez -- Etcheverry -- Shelton -- Cerundolo -- Moutet -- Fritz -- Hurkacz
Lukeorion: Marozsan -- Musetti -- Etcheverry -- Korda -- Cerundolo -- Dimitrov -- Fritz -- Tsitsipas -- Medvedev
Manila smash: Jarry
Mayorghouliani: Draper
Mcbride10s: Hurkacz -- Baez -- Davidovich Fokina -- Arnaldi -- Cerundolo -- Tsitsipas -- Rune -- Dimitrov -- Ruud
Meganfernandez: Martinez -- Norrie -- Auger-Aliasseme for Omess
Merdon: Korda -- Khachanov -- Griekspoor -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- Rublev
Michelle_fenlon: Nardi
Mikeprice444: Wawrinka -- Musetti -- Davidovich Fokina -- Korda -- Fritz -- Moutet -- Rune -- Tsitsipas -- Medvedev
Mocam57: Korda -- NO PICK
Motobass: Marozsan -- Auger-Aliassime -- Mpetshi Perricard
Mr_socko: Nakashima -- Baez -- NO PICK
Mu_royals: Marozsan -- Ruusuvuori
Munchin: Korda -- Baez -- Struff -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundulo -- Moutet -- Rune -- Tsitsipas -- Medvedev

[meganfernandez]

Natlee: Korda -- Khachanov -- Etcheverry -- Auger-Aliassime -- De Minaur -- Dimitrov -- Rune -- Tsitsipas -- Ruud
Naughtyboiosu: Tabilo
Naughtyt: Wawrinka -- Baez -- Rinderknech -- Korda -- Khachanov
Nelslus: Korda -- Baez -- Struff -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- Rublev
New england nitemare: Korda -- Baez -- Darderi -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- Tsitsipas -- Fritz -- Hurkacz
Noedee: Korda -- Baez -- Griekspoor -- Sonego -- Rune
Nyjaney: Draper
Oliver0001: Draper
Omegadoom: Korda -- Musetti -- Darderi -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- Tsitsipas -- Fritz -- Hurkacz
Omess: Draper
Oploskoffie: Korda -- Baez -- Griekspoor -- Bergs -- Khachanov
Patmanmo: Zhang -- Cerundolo -- Struff -- Auger-Aliassime -- Khachanov
Patrick: Korda -- Baez -- Cobolli -- Auger-Aliassime -- Khachanov
Paulfmcintyre: Korda -- Khachanov -- Darderi -- Arnaldi -- Cerundolo -- Dimitrov -- Fritz -- Hurkacz
Pharmanimal: Korda -- Shapovalov -- Bublik -- Auger-Aliassime -- Griekspoor -- Dimitrov -- Rune -- Hurkacz
Philly10: Korda -- Musetti -- Rinderknech -- Baez -- Cerundolo
Ponchi101: Tabilo
Ptmcmahon: Korda -- Baez -- Darderi -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- Hurkacz -- Fritz -- Tsitsipas -- Ruud
Pudding: Nakashima -- Musetti -- Darderi -- Korda -- Etcheverry -- Moutet -- Fritz -- Tsitsipas -- Ruud
Rashmi: Korda -- NO PICK
Redward: Kukushkin -- Mannarino[/color]
Rktct2b: Marozsan -- Khachanov -- Davidovich Fokina -- Korda -- Etcheverry -- Hurkacz -- Rune -- Dimitrov -- Ruud
Roger musiala: Korda -- NO PICK
Ron@tennisreporters: Draper
Seamzten18: Zhang -- Paul -- Struff -- Auger-Aliassime -- Rune -- Dimitrov -- Fritz -- Tsitsipas -- Ruud
Sh79: Korda -- Ruusuvuori
Shmrck14: Draper
Skim5150: Marozsan -- Lajovic -- Davidovich Fokina -- Bergs -- Kokkinakis -- Dimitrov -- Paul
Slamdog: Korda -- Khachanov -- Davidovich-Fokina -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundulo -- Dimitrov -- Fritz -- Tsitsipas -- Ruud
Sluggo-13: Tirante
Smc_mom: Dimitrov -- Musetti -- Etcheverry -- Korda -- Cerundolo -- Rublev
Spencerlee: Tabilo
Sportsfan: Draper
Suliso: Nardi
Sw195ae: Draper
Tcard: Tabilo
Tenedab: Draper
Tennis baller: Korda -- NO PICK
Tennisbrp: Korda -- Baez -- Struff -- Shelton -- Cerundolo -- Auger-Aliassime -- Rune -- Dimitrov -- Medvedev
Texasniteowl: Ofner -- Baez -- Rinderknech -- Korda -- Khachanov
Togtdyalttai: Korda -- Khachanov -- Goffin -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- Rublev
Tolulops: Draper
Twinetime: Tabilo
Ubermitch: Martinez -- Musetti -- Darderi -- Korda -- Cerundolo -- Dimitrov -- Fritz -- Tsitsipas -- Medvedev
Udaneri: Korda -- Baez -- Etcheverry -- Auger-Aliassime -- Cerundolo -- NO PICK
Valynn: Jarry
Verbalvolleys: Hurkacz -- Giron
Vexchaps: Dimitrov -- Baez -- Rinderknech -- Korda -- Fritz -- NO PICK
Wbeauchesne: Tabilo
Weefunk: Korda -- Cerundolo -- Struff -- Auger-Aliassime -- Khachanov
Zephyrstorm03: Ofner -- Baez -- Struff -- Korda -- Cerundolo -- Hurkacz -- Fritz -- Tsitsipas -- Ruud

[ponchi101]

The count for picks are:

Korda 50
Draper 18
Nakashima 10
Tabilo 10
Dimitrov 8
Marozsan 8
Martinez 7
Ofner 7
Wawrinka 6
Hurkacz 5
Nardi 3
Jarry 2
Zhang 2
Coric 1
Diallo 1
Humbert 1
Kukushkin 1
Tirante 1

[meganfernandez]

Day 1 results

Started: 141
Cheeked: 38
Survived: 103

Draper took down 18 the cruelest way possible, coming from two sets down to force a fifth and give you guys some hope, only to kill that, too.

Tabilo wiped out 10 people who foolishly picked against a hot-handed Belgian qualifier who probably had a lot of crowd support. This no-no is a cousin of picking against a French player (or for a French player).

Speaking of... sigh. Jarry took out two people who brazenly picked against Moutet, a French player. So what if Jarry just made the Rome final? He's not above the SP laws. And don't blame the ballkid who laid Jarry out Ray Lewis-style. This was the universe's doing.



Coric casualty, picking against a French LEGEND is an even graver sin. May you learn from this. Richie Red Shoes is ageless.

Humbert pickers, I'm stunned, too. I almost took him. But of course I didn't because il est francais!!!!

Everyone else, don't let Korda's win over Frenchman Mayot fool you. Those 50 pickers will pay for it when Korda makes a run to the semis and they took him too early, or when a later seeded pick loses a two-sets-double-break lead to crash out to a qualifier. And don't let this convince you that it's safe to pick Shelton over Gaston, either. Or any French player, the opponent of a French player, or the doubles partner, hitting partner, romantic partner or accountability partner of a French player.

Dimitrov pickers - way too early. He's making the quarters.

Ofner pickers in Europe or farther east - did you sleep?

Marozsan pickers - you win. Through easily and it was the last safe time to take him. Everyone copy these players!

Nardi pickers - Roddick picked Muller over Nardi. Do you watch his podcast? Too late now, but next time, he might save you some grief.

Diallo picker - I didn't think Nishikori had it in him, either. It was his first Slam match in three years. I respect the move. Just missed by a little.

Wawrinka pickers - maybe too early, a pleasant surprise. Might he take out Sinner? Stan looks good. So does Magnus Norman, by the way. He has aged nicely.

The rest of you, I'll chide you later.

[Grancordero]

Love those reports, Megan, keep it up!

P.S. Dimitrov´s not making the quarters (I hope)

[meganfernandez]

Love those reports, Megan, keep it up!

P.S. Dimitrov´s not making the quarters (I hope)

Who do you want to beat Grigor? I assume he's in the path of someone else you like. Thanks for the kind words! I'll do daily summaries with the results.

[meganfernandez]

Day 2 counts
Started: 103
Self-cheeked: 7 no-picks
Remaining: 96

Baez 34
Khachanov 14
Musetti 12
Auger Aliassime 7
Giron 6
Tiafoe 5
Cerundolo 4
Norrie 3
Russuvuori 3
Paul 2
Fils 1
Lajovic 1
Monfils 1
Shapovalov 1
Shevchenko 1
Van de Zandschulp 1

[meganfernandez]

Day 2 results

Started: 96
Cheeked: 14
Remaining: 82

An uneventful day. Perhaps the SP showed deference to Rafa by not producing any drama. The Baez Bandwagon wobbled when Sebastian took five sets to get the job done. He would have been a good pick in the next round or two, with Jarry out of the section, but since he didn't roll today, maybe you used him at the right time.

None of the losers (including myself) have an excuse. There were no big upsets today. We could have chosen safer picks than Giron, Ruusuvuori, Norrie, and BVDZ - although in fairness, lots of winners look safe in hindsight, once FAA has cruised and low seeds like Cerundolo and Musetti performed just as expected. I think Musetti should have been the bandwagon. He was a solid favorite in the match and in Djokovic's path.

Speaking of Cerundolo, it was a round too early, but at least you're alive.

Khachanov also a round or two early and the kind of sturdy R16/QF stalwart you want to pocket in case the draw collapses - I might take him over Rune in R32, if Rune even gets there.

The way Tiafoe survived in five doesn't inspire a lot of hope in the next round against Shapovalov, who rolled and has been on a mini upswing, so that was a good pick. Probably the second-best pick today after Musetti, but only with the hindsight of knowing Tiafoe won. It seemed risky given his current form and and the surface.

The lone Shapovalov picker and Monfils picker both survived the French curse, and the lone Fils picker didn't. Everyone wisely stayed away from Shelton, who played a Frenchman. People are underestimating Shelton, though. Voodoo aside, it would have been a good pick.

Props - I guess? - to the Lajovic and Shevchenko pickers, especially the latter. Lajovic I understand. Shevchenko was a big risk, it seems, even though Karastev hasn't been playing much. It went five, so Karatsev wasn't a pushover.

Paul pickers. Hi! Smooth sailing, easy street, no sweat ... but what if Novak doesn't last a few rounds?

Day 2 counts
Started: 103
Self-cheeked: 7 no-picks
Remaining: 96

Baez 34
Khachanov 14
Musetti 12
Auger Aliassime 7
Giron 6
Tiafoe 5
Cerundolo 4
Norrie 3
Ruusuvuori 3
Paul 2
Fils 1
Lajovic 1
Monfils 1
Shapovalov 1
Shevchenko 1
Van de Zandschulp 1

[meganfernandez]

Day 3 Summary
Started: 82
Self-cheeked: 3 no-picks
Remaining: 79

Darderi 19
Struff 12
Etcheverry 9
Mannarino 8
Rinderknech 9
Davidovich Fokina 6
Griekspoor 6
Carballes Baena 2
Cobolli 2
De Minaur 2
Bublik 1
Fritz 1
Goffin 1
Mpetshi Perricard 1

[ptmcmahon]

Hard to say used someone a round too early in round 1 when we are only going to be making so many picks

Now when it turns out we picked someone 3-4 rounds too early ... then we've screwed up

[meganfernandez]

Hard to say used someone a round too early in round 1 when we are only going to be making so many picks

Now when it turns out we picked someone 3-4 rounds too early ... then we've screwed up

SPs get tight very fast. Having several solid options left for the four days of R32 and R16 is crucial. The picks have to win and lose the next match. We'll see what happens but I definitely believe taking a seed too early in R1 can have consequences.

But you're in and I'm out, so what do I know? I'm just trying to help!

[Federex]

I used to pick players that are not likely to win next round in the early rounds, but now I think it is unnecessary risk. Even if a couple of the R1 R2 picks get to R16, there are usually still enough good picks left, as long as those players dont get into QF.
It is far better to go through into R16 and then worry about any congestion. And at AO we got a medal for making 6 picks anyway.

[meganfernandez]

I used to pick players that are not likely to win next round in the early rounds, but now I think it is unnecessary risk. Even if a couple of the R1 R2 picks get to R16, there are usually still enough good picks left, as long as those players dont get into QF.
It is far better to go through into R16 and then worry about any congestion. And at AO we got a medal for making 6 picks anyway.

You don't have to be perfect picking R1 winners to lose in R2, no. But they can't hang around more than a couple rounds. Your R3 pick better lose in R4, in most cases, especially Slams that spread their QFs over two days. I can't remember if the French does. My point is the low seeds like Khachanov - who consistently make the middle weekend of Slams - are too valuable as R2 and R3 picks, and can easily make a QF now and then if a draw collapses. If Khachanov makes the QF and you picked him in R1, it's problematic. So there's some wiggle room, but not a lot.

My playing style is different - I do worry about congestion in R3 and R4. But I'm trying to beat the draw, not just win a medal.