ATP WTA GS Aus Open 1/6 - 1/26 2025

[mmmm8]

Very 1990s Delia catalogue with that layered tank. Going to look awful in motion

[ptmcmahon]

agree with your list but here it the argument:
say a certain player's chances of winning a given major is 30%. Her chances of winning 3 in a row, given nothing as a basis, is 0.3x0.3x0.3, which is 2.7%
But if she has already won 2, chances of winning a third are ATLEAST 30%, more because she has proved she can do it, she likes the conditions, etc.. I would say 40% at least.
That is what I mean by Bayesian.

i mean if we are calculating the percentage of someone three in a row ... AFTER they won the first two.. .you don't add in the first 0.3 and 0.3. Those have already happened

[ashkor87]

agree with your list but here it the argument:
say a certain player's chances of winning a given major is 30%. Her chances of winning 3 in a row, given nothing as a basis, is 0.3x0.3x0.3, which is 2.7%
But if she has already won 2, chances of winning a third are ATLEAST 30%, more because she has proved she can do it, she likes the conditions, etc.. I would say 40% at least.
That is what I mean by Bayesian.

i mean if we are calculating the percentage of someone three in a row ... AFTER they won the first two.. .you don't add in the first 0.3 and 0.3. Those have already happened

yes, that is exxactly the fallacy in saying it is very hard to win three in a row - the first two have already happened.

[JTContinental]

Very 1990s Delia catalogue with that layered tank. Going to look awful in motion

90’s Upholstery Chic

[skatingfan]

Why are the undergarments on the outside?

[JTContinental]

2025 Australian Open Qualifiers

WTA

1 Jana Fett (CRO,28) 134 (rank)
2 Viktorija Golubic (SUI,32) 90
3 Nao Hibino (JPN,30) 143
4 Maja Chwalinska (POL,23) 126
5 Julia Riera (ARG,22) 147
6 Polina Kudermetova (21) 57
7 Daria Snigur (UKR,22) 139
8 Sara Bejlek (CZE,18) 156
9 Kimberly Birrell (AUS,26) 99
10 Destanee Aiava (AUS,24) 195
11 Sijia Wei (CHN,21) 119
12 Anca Todoni (ROM,20) 110
13 Tamara Zidansek (SLO,27) 180
14 Leolia Jeanjean (FRA,29) 149
15 Elena-Gabriela Ruse (ROM,27) 125
16 Veronika Erjavec (SLO,25) 171

ATP

1 Dominik Koepfer (GER,30) 123
2 Lukas Klein (SVK,26) 145
3 Matteo Gigante (ITA,23) 146
4 Tristan Boyer (USA,23) 134
5 Nikoloz Basilashvili (GEO,32) 210
6 Thiago Monteiro (BRA,30) 106
7 Gaulthier Onclin (BEL,23) 236
8 Aziz Dougaz (TUN,27) 230
9 Jaime Faria (POR,21) 124
10 Cristian Garin (CHI,28) 151
11 Mitchell Krueger (USA,30) 148
12 Joao Fonseca (BRA,18) 113
13 Hady Habib (LEB,26) 219
14 Kamil Majchrzak (POL,28) 117
15 Martin Landaluce (ESP,19) 143
16 Learner Tien (USA,19) 120

[JTContinental]

It's a parade of nations on the men's side and a parade of grandmas on the women's. Average qualifying age for the WTA is an elderly 24.6 compared to 23.7 for the ATP.

[Suliso]

Joao Fonseca, Sara Bejlek and Polina Kudermetova are probably the most "interesting" qualifiers.

[ashkor87]

Certainly looking forward to seeing what Fonseca can do...

[jazzyg]

I was happy to see Koepfer and Zidansek qualify.

Koeper, the only active pro I have ever met and talked to, rose to a career-high 49 last year before injuries knocked him out of the top 100 and forced him to qualify as the top seed. He barely survived his 1st two matches before getting through a little more comfortably yesterday. I hope he gets back into the top 50 this year. He has the game to do it if he keeps his head on straight, which has been a bit of an issue in ths past.

I do not understand why Zidansek never built on her Roland Garros semi from 2021 with that huge forehand she possesses, but I am resigned to the fact it was a one off. Still hope she can at least become relevant, which has not been the case since then.

[mick1303]

This is the list of players that have won the same slam 3 three years in a row.
Court - AO 69-71
Goolagong- AO 74-76
Graf - AO 88-90. W 91-93,
Seles - AO 91-93, RG 90-92
Henin - RG 05-07
Swiatek - RG 22-24
Martina - W - 82-87
Evert - USO - 75 - 78
Serena - USO - 12-14

It is more than I expected, but it is not an easy thing to do.

Additionally:
Hingis won AO in 97-99

[ponchi101]

In a nod to Ashkor's argument, it does seem the Aussie is the place to three-peat, for the women.

[JTContinental]

Joao Fonseca, Sara Bejlek and Polina Kudermetova are probably the most "interesting" qualifiers.

I would add Learner Tien to that list

[mick1303]

In a nod to Ashkor's argument, it does seem the Aussie is the place to three-peat, for the women.

That is if you count Martina's 6 years in a row for one case. But it hides 4 cases of "three-peat".

[JTContinental]

Hady Habib is the first player from Lebanon to make a grand slam main draw in the Open Era.