by dave g This first part is a list of contestants and their picks. Usually this portion of the thread will only be updated once all of the matches for that day are finished. Also, if your pick loses, your list of picks will be "redded out", and you are out of the ATP side of the contest.
161stAndChilla Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Fils Mannarino Zverev de Minaur
3mlm Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Sonego Korda Davidovich Fokina
adicecream Arnaldi Ruusuvuori No Pick
Aggie Rules Arnaldi Auger-Aliassime Draper Korda Davidovich Fokina
aidsasis Machac Purcell Michelsen Musetti
airickdago1 Marozsan Musetti McDonald
airmutable Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Bublik
ajay.gov Fritz Thompson Bublik
aleape Cilic
Alvinlimtc Arnaldi Popyrin Bublik
angryduck71 Arnaldi Thompson Lajovic
atlpam Machac Musetti Lajovic
bankerb4 Fritz Ruusuvuori Bublik
bernadette27 Machac Ruusuvuori Lehecka Khachanov Hurkacz de Minaur
bestjax Shevchenko
BouchardBoiledEggs Arnaldi Korda Lehecka Mannarino Shang Fritz
catman Shevchenko
Cdavid99 Arnaldi Popyrin Lehecka Shelton Auger-Aliassime Fritz
Charlie02123 Machac Ruusuvuori Bublik
ckelsall34 Arnaldi Popyrin Fils Korda Davidovich Fokina
CyborgShoes Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Michelsen Khachanov Davidovich Fokina
by dave g dave g Cerundolo Davidovich Fokina Bublik
douglow3902 Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Lehecka Musetti
Dowser55 Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Bublik
DU Pioneers Arnaldi Davidovich Fokina Bublik
ducklynt Cerundolo Popyrin Fils Khachanov Norrie De Minaur
Elchie Arnaldi Ruusuvuori McDonald
Eskimo53 Arnaldi Thompson Lehecka Musetti
Fastbackss Fritz Ruusuvuori Michelsen Khachanov Hurkacz De Minaur
federer70 Fritz No Pick
Federex Fritz Ruusuvuori Fils Khachanov Auger-Aliassime de Minaur
flowerchild39 Fritz Jarry
G2gaynor machac Ruusuvuori Bublik
Gacritter Machac Ruusuvuori Michelsen Baez Davidovich Fokina
geehopp Cerndolo Jarry
gerity Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Djere
gernblandston Galan Eubanks McDonald
Gff0 Shevchenko
gignatius Tiafoe D3Norrie No Pick
glarange Machak Struff 24 No Pick
Grancordero de Jong Zhang Klein Mannarino Dimitrov Shelton
GreenGourd Arnaldi Zhang Paul Khachanov Davidovich Fokina
gunner Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Michelsen Baez Norrie de Minaur
hawk99 Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Fils Mannarino Auger-Aliassime de Minaur
Herodotus Arnaldi No Pick
hoangers Cilic
HotChocolate Cerundolo Davidovich Fokina Lehecka Korda Auger-Aliassime Khachanov
by dave g Irena2 Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Norrie Musetti
IronMike Arnaldi Zhang Ruud Fritz Auger-Aliassime de Minaur
janebowles Arnaldi Ruusuvuori McDonald
JanetB Cerundolo Popyrin Lajovic
Jason11E Cerundolo Ruusuvuori Lajovic
jazzyg Cerundolo No Pick
Jeff from TX Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Bublik
jlhct de Jong D3Djere
joanjettson Baez Ruusuvuori Draper Shelton Lehecka
JoeCle Arnaldi Korda Bublik
JTContinental Rinderknech
jugrossman Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Fils Mannarino Auger-Aliassime De Minaur
jumpfroggy Harris
karlovicfanclub Arnaldi Ruusuvouri Bublik
Khethux Garin
kknudsen Arnaldi Jarry 18
KMF716 Arnaldi Shapovalov
ktothem1 Arnaldi Popyrin Fils Khachanov Auger-Aliassime de Minaur
Kzt123 Cilic
lauriejo Cerundolo Davidovich Fokina Fils Mannarino Auger-Aliassime Fritz
lbk77 Arnaldi Korda Bublik
Leaker Cerundolo 22 Monfils Lehecka 32 Korda Auger-Aliassime Khachanov
led14pa2 Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Paul Khachanov Ruud Fritz
Leemur Cerundalo Shapovolov
Liamvalid Arnaldi Monfils Djere
likembrave Cilic
Lokomotiv lemnos Machac Ruusuvouri Bublik
lukeorion Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Bublik
by dave g Manahero Galan No Pick
Marsny Kubler
martini4me Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Draper Musetti
mcbride10s Arnaldi Korda Paul Mannarino Hurkacz de Minaur
MediaGrrl Cachin
meganfernandez Arnaldi Thompson Draper Shelton Norrie Khachanov
Merdon Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Draper Shelton Hurkacz de Minaur
Michelle_fenlon Arnaldi Jarry
Mikeprice444 Arnaldi Monfils Purcell Khachanov Davidovich Fokina
mmmm8 Arnaldi Jarry
Mocam57 Cilic
motobass Shevchenko
mr_socko Rublev Ruusuvuori Fils Etcheverry Lehecka
mrdarnley Cilic
munchin Arnaldi Jarry
Naughtyboiosu Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Bublik
naughtyT Cilic
nelslus Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Bublik
Net Raider Cerundolo Korda Fils Tiafoe
New England Nitemare Fritz Korda Fils Khachanov Zverev de Minaur
noedee Cilic
nyjaney Machac Musetti McDonald
oliver0001 Fritz D3Djere
Omegadoom Fritz Ruusuvuori Lehecka Khachanov Dimitrov De Minaur
Omess Shevchenko
Oploskoffie Cerundolo Korda Fils Tiafoe
ozjohn53 Fritz Korda No Pick
by dave g patmanmo Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Bublik
patrick Kubler
PeterSkan Fritz Musetti Norrie Tiafoe
Pharmanimal Cilic
phatsdawg Cilic
Philly10 Arnaldi Popyrin Michelsen Korda Auger-Aliassime Shelton
ponchi101 Cerundolo Musetti Lehecka Tiafoe
ptmcmahon Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Fils Korda Auger-Aliassime De Minaur
RedWard Cerundolo 22 D3Kokkinakis No Pick
rktct2b Arnaldi Korda Lajovic
seamzten18 Shevchenko
shmrck14 Arnaldi Popyrin Lehecka Khachanov Davidovich Fokina
skim5150 Cerundolo Popyrin Djere
slamdog Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Bublik
SMC_mom Harris
SoulCandy93 Cilic
spencerlee Machac Ruusuvouri Fils Kotov
Stripes Cerundolo Korda Djere
Suliso Arnaldi Musetti Bublik
sw195ae Machac Zhang Lajovic
tcard Arnaldi Popyrin Djere
tenedab Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Paul Korda Davidovich Fokina
Tennis Baller Cerundolo Popyrin Fils Korda Auger-Aliassime Fritz
TennisLover1607 Cerundolo Davidovich Fokina Lehecka Baez Norrie De Minaur
texasniteowl Cachin
Thaddeus1 de Jong Popyrin Lajovic
thenetistoohigh Cerundolo Popyrin No Pick
Togtdyalttai Cerundolo Ruusuvuori Norrie Musetti
Tolulops Cerundolo Carballes Baena
ubermitch Arnaldi Zhang Fils Mannarino Davidovich Fokina
Valynn Cerundolo Ruusuvuori Djere
Verbalvolleys Cilic
Vexchaps Arnaldi Ruusuvuori Djere
wbeauchesne Cerundolo Struff Paul Fritz Auger-Aliassime Khachanov
Webswinger88 Arnaldi Thompson Fils Baez Zverev de Minaur
weefunk Arnaldi Popyrin McDonald
wolfy333 Cerundolo Ruusuvuori Lehecka Baez Dimitrov Khachanov
zephyrstorm03 Cerundolo Ruusuvuori Bublik
by dave g Day 1 Pick Summary
Total 140
Arnaldi 58
Cerundolo 25
Cilic 12
Fritz 11
Machac 11
Shevchenko 6
Jong 3
Cachin 2
Galan 2
Harris 2
Kubler 2
Baez 1
Garin 1
Marozsan 1
Rinderknech 1
Rublev 1
Tiafoe 1
Start 140
Alive 114
Dead 26
Unknown 0
by dave g Since I live in the US, most of the results will happen while I am asleep. Expect delay in the updating of the results during the middle of the AO day.
by dave g Day 2 Pick Summary
Start 114
No Pick 5
Alive 99
I initially, accidentally, listed the Day 3 matches in addition to the Day 2 matches. Five people managed to have picked one of the Day 3 matches, tomorrow you will have to pick a second Day 3 match tomorrow and survive both matches.
Day 2 Picks
Ruusuvouri 44
Popyrin 14
Jarry 6
Musetti 6
Davidovich Fokina 5
Thompson 5
Zhang 5
Monfils 3
Shapovalov 2
Auger-Aliassime 1
Carballes Beana 1
Eubanks 1
Korda 10
Struff 1
Day 3 Picks
Djere 2
Kokkinakis 1
Norrie 1
Purcell 1
Start 99
Alive 85
Dead 9
Unknown 5
by ozjohn53 I'm quite sure that more than one of us picked Korda. And also why should people playing this game in good faith be penalized for your mistakes?
by
Fastbackss ozjohn53 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 2:04 am
I'm quite sure that more than one of us picked Korda. And also why should people playing this game in good faith be penalized for your mistakes?
Lol, wow.
How about the fact that you get a reprieve today? The alternative would be you get eliminated.
by
nelslus ozjohn53 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 2:04 am
I'm quite sure that more than one of us picked Korda. And also why should people playing this game in good faith be penalized for your mistakes?
.....AND, here's another thought. Try, as a volunteer, to run one of these freakin' contests, and never make any mistakes.
We all are also quite capable of looking each day at the official order of play- which can also be found in this site.
by
aidsasis dave g wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 1:53 am
Five people managed to have picked one of the Day 3
Oh, I'm one of them. Thank you for giving us another chance. Much appreciated. Thanks for all the work you do so we can enjoy a game we have fun with and don't pay anything for.
by
ptmcmahon ozjohn53 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 2:04 am
I'm quite sure that more than one of us picked Korda. And also why should people playing this game in good faith be penalized for your mistakes?
As stated in contest rules, everyone is responsible for researching their own picks. Organizers could just not post the schedule and force everyone to look it up themselves. You should consider yourself lucky you were allowed to stay
by
dave g ozjohn53 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 2:04 am
I'm quite sure that more than one of us picked Korda. And also why should people playing this game in good faith be penalized for your mistakes?
The Korda problem has been fixed.
Having to make a second Day 3 pick.
The general rule is that everyone needs to make one pick a day. Having accidentally listed the Day 3 matches in that post left me with two reasonably fair options. Option 1. Give everyone else Day 3 off. Meaning that everybody who made a Day 2 pick would not have to make a Day 3 pick. and Option 2, Have the people who did pick a Day 3 match make a second Day 3 pick. I want this contest to progress, so I didn't want to give the vast majority of the contestant a day off. There are a lot of other Day 3 matches to pick from, so I am do not feel requiring you to pick a different Day 3 match is much of an imposition. If this had happend during Round 4, where the quality of the selection of a second Round 4 matches from that half might decrease noticably, then I would be choosing Option 1.
by patrick Agree on Option 2 at this point
by dave g The loss rate for Day 1 was about average. You (the group) did better than average on Day 2. Congratulatons.
by IronMike It shows me picking Popyrin for day 2 but I picked Zhang. Can you check the list in the beginning of this thread? Thank you
by atlpam I noticed I am marked red for a Jarry loss on day 2, but my day 2 pick was Musetti. (post #84 in the day 2 pick thread)
Thanks!
by Grancordero Same thing. I picked Zhang, not Mussetti. Both won, so no big deal, but just for the record.
by oliver0001 Unfortunately, I've picked Djere for day two, not Ruusuvori (as it says in the picks and results on page one).
by gunner I picked Ruusuvuori (post #46 in the day 2 pick thread) for day two but it shows me as red.
by tcard I picked Popyrin for Day 2 not Ruusuvouri which is showimg in pcks and results thread
by tcard I picked Popyrin for Day 2 not Ruusuvouri which is showimg in pcks and results thread
by New England Nitemare I picked Korda for Day Two; not Ruusuvouri which is showing in picks and results thread. Please and thank you.
by bernadette27 I am marked red for Jarry on day 2. Did not pick him.
My pick was Ruusuvuori. Please correct.
by
Suliso Something must have gone wrong with automation here. Happens.
by
atlpam Suliso wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 6:12 pm
Something must have gone wrong with automation here. Happens.
No biggie - I am happy to go back through the pics manually if you need help with corrections.
by Stripes Just a heads-up that I picked Korda on Day 2 and I am listed as having picked Ruusuvuori. Probably will not impact the big picture, but wanted to set the record straight just in case. Thanks for all your efforts!
by
aidsasis dave g wrote: ↑Sun Jan 14, 2024 2:04 am
aidsasis Machac Davidovich Fokina
Hi! Just calling attention to what seems to be an error in the listing of picks. I actually picked Machac, Purcell (picked wrongly from Day 3), and Michelsen (my 2nd Day 3 pick). Maybe the picks listed for other people have errors too. Thank you!
by GreenGourd Hello! I’m mistakenly in red. The tally has me as a “No Pick,” but I picked Zhang. It’s Post #50 in the Day 2 thread.
by Valynn I picked Ruusuvuori for Day 2 but it shows I picked Thompson
by Cdavid99 Hi! I picked Popyrin for Day 2 (post #97), but it shows I picked Jarry. Thanks for all your hard work, as I’m sure this isn’t easy!
by shmrck14 Hi! I picked Popyrin but it's listed as Ruusuvouri. They both won so I guess it's fine. I doubt I'd pick either in round 2
by airmutable I also picked Ruusuvuori but am listed as having picked Davidovich Fokina. I might like to pick ADF later. Thanks!
by weefunk I picked Popyrin (post #65 in day 2 thread) but am listed as having picked Zhang. They both won, but just wanted to point it out.
by dave g I think I have fixed everything in the contestants' list of picks at the beginning of this thread. Please take a look at it and let me know if you are finding anything wrong.
Evidently, I accidentally alphabetically sorted just the Day 2 pick column, as opposed to sorting the whole sheet by the Day 2 pick column.
by
atlpam dave g wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 9:34 pm
I think I have fixed everything in the contestants' list of picks at the beginning of this thread. Please take a look at it and let me know if you are finding anything wrong.
Evidently, I accidentally alphabetically sorted just the Day 2 pick column, as opposed to sorting the whole sheet by the Day 2 pick column.
Glad (for you) that it was something easily correctable!
by
dave g Day 3 Pick Summary
Start 101
No Pick 6
Left 95
Bublic 21
Fils 18
Lehecka 12
Lajovic 9
Djere 7
McDonald 6
Michelsen 6
Draper 5
Paul 5
Norrie 3
Klein 1
Purcell 1
Ruud 1
Sonego 1
Start 95
Survivors 52
Dead 43
Unknown 0
by
nelslus ....AND, as should have been obvious to all of us- 21 of us go out from the straight-set loss from the Clown Monfils-Lite Bubbles. Who should be on all of our Do Not Play lists. Not only because he played and won a bunch of matches right before the Aussie (see: Tabilo, Alejandro, Daniel, Taro, etc., etc.) But- because he is Bublik The Useless.
by nelslus PS: Happy for Nagal, for sure. Who, by the end of his third Qualifying win, could barely move.
by meganfernandez Draper's lunch didn't survive, but his 5 pickers did. He went directly from the handshake to the trash can to puke. Evidently it's really hot there today.
by
naughtyT Stripes wrote: ↑Mon Jan 15, 2024 7:00 pm
Just a heads-up that I picked Korda on Day 2 and I am listed as having picked Ruusuvuori. Probably will not impact the big picture, but wanted to set the record straight just in case. Thanks for all your efforts!
Tall blond people.. all the same really
by dave g Day 4 Pick Summary
Start 52
No Pick 0
Picks 52
Khachanov 13
Korda 9
Mannarino 8
Musetti 6
Baez 5
Shelton 4
Tiafoe 4
Fritz 2
Etcheverry 1
Kotov 1
Start 52
Survivors 41
Dead 11
Unknown 0
These results are about on par for a day in the survivor pools.
by tenedab It should be Nagal vs Shang instead of Bublik vs Shang in the Day 5 thread ( wishful thinking I guess)
by
dave g tenedab wrote: ↑Wed Jan 17, 2024 2:49 am
It should be Nagal vs Shang instead of Bublik vs Shang in the Day 5 thread ( wishful thinking I guess)
Thanks
by
Grancordero Wow, Mannarino... that was survival at its best!
by dave g Day 5 Pick Summary
Start 41
No Pick 0
Auger-Aliassime 13
Davidovich Fokina 10
Hurkacz 4
Norrie 4
Dimitrov 3
Zverev 3
Lehecka 2
Ruud 1
Shang 1
Start 41
Survivors 29
Dead 12
Unknown 0
by dave g Day 6 Pick Summary
Start 29
de Minaur 17
Fritz 5
Khachanov 5
Shelton 2
Start 29
Survivors 27
Dead 2
Unknown 0
Of the eight matches, if people want to beat the draw, people need to stay away from the matches with the players in the top 8 seeds. And everybody did stay away from those four matches. So all of the pick are from the matches with the four lower ranked seeds, and we have picks in each of those matches. The Shelton-Mannarino is the toughest match on paper. We will have to wait and see if the closeness between Shelton's and Mannarino's ranks creates the closest match or not. I don't know enough of the three unseeded players to know if their current successes are signs of improved play or just blips on the radar.
by
ptmcmahon Well, unless any of us have a sleeper non top 8 player
(I sure don't though!)
by dave g Day 7 Pick Summary
Start 27
No Pick 3
Left 24
Dimitrov 16
Paul 6
Griekspoor 2
Start 24
Survivors 0
Dead 24
Unknown 0
Comments: Like yesterday, you kept away from the matches with the four highest seeded players, with Hurkacz replacing Rune in this strategy. I think this is a good idea. I also see that none of you decided to pick from the Norrie-Ruud match. This is a good idea too.
I have not seen Cazaux play, so I have no idea of who will win the Cazaux-Griekspoor match. Good luck.
Last week Tommy Paul lost a round or two before he would have been lower ranked than his opponent. So, I don't have a lot of confidence in your pick.
Dimitrov is probably the most likely of these three to win. However, there is possibility that you will have to do a lot of careful picking if Dimitrov manages to beat Medvedev next week. I'll admit that Dimitrov beating Medvedev is less that 50-50, but I think it is more likely that Dimitrov will win than most people. That might be because I like Dimitrov.
by dave g I usually use 25 survivors as the place where I move to an Updated Results thread. So, once the results from today's matches are in, I will move us to an Updated Picks and Results Summary thread.
by Suliso It could also be that you guys move nowhere at all. Paul and Griekspoor already lost and Dimitrov is on court.
by patrick Dimitrov is out in 4 sets and the ATP Survivor Pool is done and dusted before Week 2
by
gunner So we are all getting a medal
by
ptmcmahon dave g wrote: ↑Sat Jan 20, 2024 2:35 am
I usually use 25 survivors as the place where I move to an Updated Results thread. So, once the results from today's matches are in, I will move us to an Updated Picks and Results Summary thread.
Fabulous jinx
Have we ever not had an updated thread… ever?
by
ptmcmahon Suliso wrote: ↑Sat Jan 20, 2024 7:48 am
It could also be that you guys move nowhere at all. Paul and Griekspoor already lost and Dimitrov is on court.
You just had to say that
by
dave g 
Wow, I wasn't expecting this result at all.
by Fastbackss Someone said "you have to go with one really tough pick to beat the SP."
I chose this one , wasn't happy with it, but felt was my best option for future success.
Checked score this morning, saw the "L" and said (a form of) "doggone it" - didn't know Dimitrov had lost too. Assumed he hadn't. So imagine my surprise when seeing the result.
I feel like am being rewarded for a poor decision haha
by
ponchi101 ptmcmahon wrote: ↑Sat Jan 20, 2024 12:29 pm
dave g wrote: ↑Sat Jan 20, 2024 2:35 am
I usually use 25 survivors as the place where I move to an Updated Results thread. So, once the results from today's matches are in, I will move us to an Updated Picks and Results Summary thread.
Fabulous jinx
Have we ever not had an updated thread… ever?
I can't recall.
And remember, we have an UPDATED WTA topic because so many people lost so early.
Wow...
by Merdon Holy moly! I’ve been playing these for years and years (unsuccessfully) and can’t remember anything like this.
by New England Nitemare I've been playing these survivor pools since 2011, I don't think I've ever seen a pool end before an Updated thread was posted. Has to be a record for a pool to end before the 4th round has commenced. I thought the WTA pool would end before the ATP would.....who knew????
by
ptmcmahon It's like we were competing to see which we could be the most mediocre at
by ponchi101 This SP has to go down with an asterisk:
Certainly most winners in one single pool
Shortest lived pool (most likely).
And remember, in a sense, there were no bandwagon crashes. Everybody was decimated in slow groups. It was not as if somebody got Gasquet'd or BVDZ'd and the pool was left with 3 players left one day.
It was a final day massacre.
by Suliso WTA pool might have ended this early before. Also I believe we had 40+ winners one year with Henin at RG.
by
meganfernandez Suliso wrote: ↑Sat Jan 20, 2024 5:07 pm
WTA pool might have ended this early before. Also I believe we had 40+ winners one year with Henin at RG.
Someone pointed out on Twitter that the B3 format is more prone to upsets. And we have seen that.
by ptmcmahon Based on my predictions I likely would have been taking Alcaraz if SP was still on, so I'll consider myself lucky it ended when it did.
