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2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Wed Jan 17, 2024 5:55 pm
by meganfernandez
Congratulations! The 11 of you survived where 125 others failed. This was a brutal pool, losing 90% in four days. Might be a record. Let's see if you can keep it up!


Grancordero: Fernandez -- Hunter -- Burel -- Tsurenko -- Noskova -- Andreeva -- Svitolina -- Gauff -- Kalinskaya -- Kostyuk




Aleape: Fernandez -- Paolini -- Navarro -- Tsurenko - NO PICK

Ckelsall34 = -- B. Fruhvirtova -- Tomova -- Burel -- Tsurenko -- Noskova -- Frech --Navarro

Ironmike: Dolehide -- Mertens -- Burel -- Haddad Maia -- Noskova -- Krejcikova- - Svitolina -- Andreeva

Leaker: Fernandez -- Paolini -- Trevisan -- Tsurenko -- Navarro -- Badosa

Martini4me: Fernandez -- Kostyuk -- Cocciaretto -- Anisimova -- Noskova - Krejcikova -- Svitolina -- Andreeva

Mrdarnley: Tsurenko -- Mertens -- Stephens -- Haddad Maia -- Svitolina -- Andreeva -- Paolini -- Timofeeva

Naughtyt: Fernandez -- Mertens -- Stephens -- Tsurenko -- Noskova -- Frech -- Svitolina -- Kostyuk -- Azarekna

Oliver0001: Krejcikova -- Hunter -- Kasatkina -- Haddad Maia -- Paolini -- Anisimova -- Svitolina - Gauff -- Azarenka

Omess: Dolehide -- Kostyuk -- Cocciaretto -- Tsurenko -- Noskova -- Haddad Maia

Verbalvolleys: Tsurenko -- Kostyuk -- Trevisan -- Krejcikova -- Raducanu

Re: 2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Wed Jan 17, 2024 6:00 pm
by Grancordero
I´m sorry... Didn´t Pavlyuchenkova lost to Badosa last night?

Re: 2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Wed Jan 17, 2024 6:03 pm
by ponchi101
Grancordero wrote: Wed Jan 17, 2024 6:00 pm I´m sorry... Didn´t Pavlyuchenkova lost to Badosa last night?
Indeed. I was running the parser myself and the spelling was not correct, saw that JT was not red, and added the picks.
Not Megan's fault.
Sorry.

Re: 2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Wed Jan 17, 2024 6:04 pm
by Grancordero
Don´t mention it. It´s a hell of a job you´re doing here, thanks for everything.

Re: 2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Thu Jan 18, 2024 3:04 am
by meganfernandez
Day 5 Summary - only 11 people survive, down from 125 who started. That's 90% of the pool out in four days.

Noskova - 6
Raducanu - 1
Paolini - 1
Navarro - 1
Svitolina - 1
No pick - 1

REACTIONS
Noskova - She's already through, but it wasn't straightforward. Since she's next to Iga in the draw, you're in good shape unless... unless... Collins is up 5-1 in the second. Don't look now.

Raducanu - Unnecessary risk.

Paolini - Best pick of the day, I think, unless you have already taken her.

Navarro - Why use her so soon? She would be the favorite in the next round and have a real shot at the quarters.

Svitolina - I would have saved her. She's too tough of an out. Sure, Iga's section, but I'd give Svitolina a good shot vs Iga - she beat her at Wimbledon.

Re: 2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Fri Jan 19, 2024 1:36 am
by meganfernandez
Day 6 Summary - 9 of you could barely agree

Andreeva - 2
Frech - 2
Krejcikova - 2

Haddad Maia - 1
Anisimova - 1
Badosa - 1

The only thing I'm going to say is that several people still have Kostyuk and didn't use her. Sorry for abbreviated comments. I'm more tired than Medvedev and Ruusuvuori.

Re: 2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Fri Jan 19, 2024 2:05 pm
by naughtyT
.... and then there were 7....

Re: 2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Fri Jan 19, 2024 2:10 pm
by naughtyT
... of course if we all make the same picks... everyone wins... win or lose. Just sayin'

Re: 2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Fri Jan 19, 2024 3:03 pm
by meganfernandez
naughtyT wrote: Fri Jan 19, 2024 2:05 pm .... and then there were 7....
You Andreeva pickers are living on borrowed time! What a comeback. Were you guys already texting friends to have your hemlock ready in the Losers Lounge? Incredible that you're still alive. Also the Frech picker - but that wasn't quite the heart attack that Andreeva was.

Six of you still have Kostyuk available and EVERYONE has Timofeeva! Does anyone dare pick her? Don't get too comfy, though, because you know the carnage isn't over! What surprises will happen this weekend?

Re: 2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Fri Jan 19, 2024 3:15 pm
by Suliso
If I were alive which I long since am not I'd be tempted to go with Swiatek. Risky picks will just not survive.

Re: 2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Fri Jan 19, 2024 3:40 pm
by meganfernandez
Suliso wrote: Fri Jan 19, 2024 3:15 pm If I were alive which I long since am not I'd be tempted to go with Swiatek. Risky picks will just not survive.
I would pick Iga because I think she will lose to Svitolina, as she did at Wimbledon. :) I do think you have to make a bold pick somewhere along the lines to win an SP, usually. Or maybe that's just me and how I play these things (and tennis).

Re: 2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Fri Jan 19, 2024 4:48 pm
by ptmcmahon
Suliso wrote: Fri Jan 19, 2024 3:15 pm If I were alive which I long since am not I'd be tempted to go with Swiatek. Risky picks will just not survive.
It's hard to do that often since then if there aren't upsets... later on you're the one who was to pick an upset while others get Swiatek.

But especially in WTA it may work out quite well. Or you say "I'll pick Jabeur ... or Rybakina because she's safe." Then you look real foolish. :)

Re: 2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Fri Jan 19, 2024 4:56 pm
by Suliso
I don't think I buy Svitolina beating Swiatek narrative. They have never played on hard and Iga's class is higher.

Re: 2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Fri Jan 19, 2024 5:27 pm
by meganfernandez
Suliso wrote: Fri Jan 19, 2024 4:56 pm I don't think I buy Svitolina beating Swiatek narrative. They have never played on hard and Iga's class is higher.
Swiatek should have lost to Collins, and Svitolina is a better player who won't be intimidated, and has better defense. I think it's 50/50! But what do we know? There are a lot of experts in the Losers Lounge. :)

Re: 2024 AO Survivor Pool: UPDATED WTA Picks and Results

Posted: Fri Jan 19, 2024 7:26 pm
by ponchi101
Svitolina is a retriever/defender. Collins is an attacking player, whose shots stopped landing in.
If Elina decides to play nothing but defense, eventually her shorts balls will allow Iga to step in and hit the winner. On grass, the low bounce did Iga in. At the Aussie, the ball will not stay low